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Tennessee, Clay

Special Statement

Statement as of 3:37 PM CDT on May 21, 2013

Expires 8:00 PM EDT on May 21, 2013


... Torrential rainfall and strong to severe thunderstorms will
still be possible at times through Wednesday evening...

Strong to severe thunderstorms are currently developing west of
the Mississippi River. Although a few isolated cells may be
possible across middle Tennessee this afternoon and evening west
of I-65... the main area of showers and storms will approach middle
Tennessee after 7pm... pushing eastward through the evening and
overnight hours. Some of these storms could become severe with
damaging winds and large hail possible. Although a very low
threat... an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out tonight... with
the best chance occurring west of I-65 further south near the
Alabama border. Again... this chance appears low... and will not
resemble the storms that affected Oklahoma yesterday.

At this time..it appears that any thunderstorm complexes that move
into middle TN will be weakening somewhat overnight... perhaps
completely dissipating by Wednesday morning. This will leave room
for our region to become unstable yet again... with strong to
severe storms possible Wednesday afternoon and evening. The main
threats with those storms on Wednesday will be large hail and
damaging winds... mainly along and east of I-65. In addition... any
storms that occur throughout the next 24-36 hours will be capable
of producing torrential rainfall... and if storms train over the
same areas isolated flash flooding may become possible.


1042 am CDT Tue may 21 2013

... Torrential rain and strong to severe storms possible...

Areas of thunderstorms have already developed across the mid
Mississippi Valley area and the Southern Plains. One of these
thunderstorm complexes will move into middle Tennessee from late
morning through the afternoon hours. The main threats with these
storms will be torrential rainfall and wind gusts to 45mph.
Scattered storms will continue through this afternoon and
evening... and an isolated severe storm or two cannot be ruled out.

However... the best chance for strong to severe storms will be
mainly towards dawn Wednesday as severe storms develop over the
Southern Plains this afternoon and March eastward overnight. A
line of strong to severe storms is expected to approach middle
Tennessee very late tonight into the early morning hours on
Wednesday... with strong winds and torrential rainfall being the
main threats. Isolated large hail cannot be ruled out... and at
this time... a tornado threat looks very low. It should be
emphasized that any thunderstorms that affect middle Tennessee
today... tonight and Wednesday will not nearly be as significant as
what occurred yesterday in Oklahoma.

The best chance for severe weather will be between roughly 3am and
8am near the Tennessee River... with storms weakening as they move
further east. A threat for strong storms will still exist
throughout the day Wednesday before the storm system pushes
through the region.


Al


Weather Severe Map
Alaska - Areal Flood Warning , Areal Flood Watch , Special Weather Statement , Record Report
Arizona - Wind Advisory , Fire Weather Warning
Arkansas - Tornado Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch , Flash Flood Watch, Flood Advisory , Flood Advisory , Flood Watch / Flood Statement
California - High Surf Advisory , Wind Advisory , Lake Wind Advisory , Freeze Warning , Freeze Watch , Special Statement , Public Information Statement
Colorado - Fire Weather Warning , Fire Weather Watch , Public Information Statement
Connecticut - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Special Statement , Special Weather Statement , Air Quality Alert
Florida - Areal Flood Watch , Record Report
Georgia - Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Flash Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Special Weather Statement , Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Hawaii - High Surf Advisory , Wind Advisory , Record Report
Idaho - Lake Wind Advisory , Public Information Statement
Illinois - Flood Warning , Flood Advisory , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Indiana - Record Report , Public Information Statement
Iowa - Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Kansas - Areal Flood Advisory , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Kentucky - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Special Statement , Special Weather Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Louisiana - Tornado Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Maine - Public Information Statement
Massachusetts - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Special Statement
Michigan - Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Minnesota - Flood Warning , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Mississippi - Tornado Watch , Flash Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Flood Advisory , Flood Watch / Flood Statement
Missouri - Tornado Watch , Flood Warning , Flood Advisory , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Montana - Lake Wind Advisory , Winter Storm Watch , Special Statement , Public Information Statement
Nebraska - Wind Advisory , Public Information Statement
Nevada - Wind Advisory , Lake Wind Advisory , Freeze Watch
New Hampshire - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Public Information Statement
New Mexico - Fire Weather Watch
New York - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Tornado Warning , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Dense Fog Advisory , Special Statement
North Carolina - Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Special Weather Statement , Special Statement , Record Report
North Dakota - Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning , Areal Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch , Flood Watch , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Ohio - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Special Statement , Record Report
Oklahoma - Tornado Watch , Flood Warning , Flood Warning, Flash Flood Warning , Flash Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch , Flood Watch , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Oregon - Wind Advisory , Winter Weather Advisory , Freeze Warning , Special Statement , Special Weather Statement
Pennsylvania - Record Report
Puerto Rico - Flash Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory
Rhode Island - Severe Thunderstorm Watch
South Carolina - Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Flood Warning , Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
South Dakota - Public Information Statement
Tennessee - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Tornado Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Flash Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Flood Advisory , Special Statement
Texas - Tornado Watch , Tornado Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Utah - Public Information Statement
Vermont - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Special Statement
Virginia - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Areal Flood Advisory , Flash Flood Watch , Special Statement , Special Weather Statement , Record Report
Washington - Winter Weather Advisory , Special Weather Statement
West Virginia - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Flash Flood Watch , Record Report
Wisconsin - Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Special Weather Statement
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